Evan Bird Real Estate Blog

Everyone is telling you to wait. With mortgage rates hovering between 3.8% and 4.5%, the media still talking about a housing crisis, and the stress test making it harder to qualify, sitting on the sidelines can feel like the only safe bet. But what if the opposite is true? What if this “terrible” market is actually a hidden opportunity for first-time buyers?

As someone who's in the trenches helping families in Surrey, Langley, and White Rock, I see it every day. The current slowdown gives you more power than buyers have had in years—if you know how to use it.

Here's the truth: buying your first home has never been easy. But this moment? It has its own unique advantages if you know where to look.

1. You Have More Choices (and Less Competition)

Let me start with something that might surprise you: despite the scary headlines, you're actually walking into one of the most balanced markets we've seen in years.

Remember the frenzy? The bidding wars, the no-condition offers, the madness? That’s over. The Fraser Valley market has shifted dramatically. Benchmark home prices are down about 5% from last year, and we have more homes for sale than we've seen in a decade.

What does that actually mean for you? More choice, less pressure, and sellers who are actually willing to talk.

Here’s the reality on the ground: only about 9% of listings are selling each month. Homes that would have been snapped up in a weekend two years ago are now sitting for 5-6 weeks. I’ve seen beautiful properties in South Surrey listed around $1.5 million that have been on the market for three months with barely any showings.

This isn't a sign of a crash; it's a sign of a market that's finally breathing again.

2. You Can Actually Negotiate

I know what you’re thinking: "If the market's so slow, maybe I should just wait for prices to drop even more."

It’s a fair question, but here’s where my experience comes in handy. The buyers who try to perfectly time the bottom of the market often miss the forest for the trees. Yes, rates are up. But you’re also shopping in a market where you can take your time. You can ask for an inspection (what a concept!). You can negotiate repairs. You can make an offer without having to waive every condition that protects you.

You’re not behind schedule—you’re being strategic. And that matters more than perfect timing. This is where the current market becomes your biggest ally. With sellers getting frustrated by the lack of action, you have leverage. Use it.

• Subject-to-financing clauses? They’re back. In a seller's market, they were deal-killers. Today, sellers get it.

• Need a longer closing date? Ask for it. It gives you breathing room.

• Inspection found some issues? Great. Let’s ask for a credit or a repair. Sellers are more willing to play ball when they don't have ten other offers waiting.

I’ve seen well-prepared buyers negotiate thousands off the price this fall—things that would have been laughed at two years ago.

3. You Can Be Rate-Savvy (and Still Win)

Alright, let's talk about the elephant in the room: mortgage rates. They’re high. There’s no sugarcoating it. View some on ratehub.ca here.

Since 2022, the Bank of Canada has been on a mission to fight inflation with rate hikes. That’s changed the game for borrowing power. What you could afford in 2021 is a different number today.

And then there’s the mortgage stress test. This is where a lot of first-timers get tripped up. Lenders test you at your contract rate plus 2%. So, even with a competitive 4.2% mortgage rate, you have to prove you can handle payments calculated at 6.2%. It’s a tough hurdle, no doubt.

So, Where Are Rates Headed?

The good news is that most economists, and even the Bank of Canada itself, expect rates to continue their slow downward trend. Major banks are forecasting that the BoC's main policy rate could drop to around 2.25% by the end of 2025.

What does this actually mean for you?

• For Variable Rates: Because variable-rate mortgages are tied directly to the Bank of Canada's rate, there's a good chance they will slowly decline as well.

• For Fixed Rates: These are a bit different, as they're more influenced by the bond market. The forecast here is for a modest drop, but not a dramatic one. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA), for example, thinks 5-year fixed rates might settle around 4.35% by the end of the year.

Of course, nothing is guaranteed. The Bank of Canada is still watching inflation closely. But the general feeling is that we've likely passed the peak of high rates.

But even with rates where they are, it doesn't mean your dream is impossible. It just means you need to be smarter.

• Get a Rate Hold: If you're serious, get a rate hold now. It protects you from increases for 90-120 days while you shop.

• Look at Credit Unions: BC credit unions can sometimes offer more flexible terms than the big banks, especially if your situation isn't cookie-cutter.

• Consider Longer Amortizations: A 30-year amortization (instead of 25) can lower your monthly payment, making it easier to qualify. Yes, you pay more interest over time, but it can be the difference between buying now and waiting years. Try out this calculator to see estimates.

4. You Can Take Advantage of the "Off-Season"

Here’s a little secret most buyers don’t consider: the season you buy in really matters.

Fall and winter are the "off-season" for real estate. Fewer buyers are out there, which means less competition for you. Sellers who list their homes in November or December are usually very motivated. They might be relocating for a job or need to sell for financial reasons.

Plus, welcome to the West Coast! Fall is the perfect time to see how a house really performs in the rain. You can check for drainage issues, leaky gutters, or a damp basement. These aren't deal-breakers; they're negotiation points. Finding out a roof needs $8,000 in repairs gives you leverage.

5. You Can Focus on What Matters: Your Life

So, should you buy now or wait for spring?

Honestly, there’s no crystal ball. Trying to time the market is like trying to catch lightning in a bottle. Prices might soften a bit more. Or, if the Bank of Canada cuts rates, we could see a flood of buyers return, pushing prices right back up.

Here’s what I know after years in this business: if you wait for the "perfect" moment, you might wait forever.

The real question isn't, "Is this the absolute bottom of the market?" The real question is, "Does buying a home right now make sense for my life, my finances, and my long-term goals?" Thankfully, I’ve made it easy for buyers to get a quick assessment through a complimentary strategy buyers call. You can schedule one here.

If you’ve found a place you love, you're financially stable, and you plan to stay for 5+ years, then locking in your housing costs now instead of paying ever-increasing rent might be the smartest move you can make.

Final Thoughts: Confidence Through Preparation

Look, I won't lie—buying your first home when rates are high is tough. The affordability challenges are real.

But prepared buyers succeed in any market. The clients who do their homework, get their financing locked in, and work with a team they trust—they’re the ones who find great homes. They negotiate good deals. They start building equity and a stable future for their families.

High rates don't last forever. But your need for a home is happening right now.

If you're a first-time buyer trying to figure all this out in Surrey, Langley, or White Rock, I'm here to help. Let's sit down, look at your situation, and build a real plan—one based on your goals, not on guessing what the market will do next.

Because the best time to buy your first home isn't when the market is perfect. It's when you're ready.

Let's make it happen.

Evan Bird is a trusted real estate advocate serving the Fraser Valley, bringing unique insights from his background as a firefighter and renovation expert. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to upsize, Evan provides dedicated support and local expertise to make your real estate journey stress-free.

🔑 Why Mortgage Readiness Matters for Downsizers

As we move through Fall 2025, the Fraser Valley real estate market is presenting a unique opportunity for downsizers. The latest September 2025 statistics from the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board confirm what I'm seeing daily: we're in a definitive buyer's market, with the sales-to-active listings ratio sitting at just 9% (a balanced market ranges between 12-20%).

After years of competitive bidding and limited inventory, this shift changes everything. With 10,583 active listings across the Fraser Valley—up 17% from last September—and benchmark prices down 5.4% year-over-year, well-prepared buyers finally have breathing room and negotiating power.

Here's what I'm seeing firsthand working with clients throughout Langley, South Surrey, and White Rock: downsizers often have significant equity built up in their current homes. That's a strong position to be in. However, many still need financing or bridging options to make their next move work seamlessly. The key difference between those who transition smoothly and those who face unnecessary stress? Financial preparation.

In this guide, I'll walk you through how mortgage pre-approval and smart budgeting can help you move confidently into your next chapter—without the overwhelm.

📈 Understanding the Fraser Valley Buyer's Market

Let's talk about what a buyer's market actually means for you.

In simple terms, it's when there are more homes listed than there are active buyers. This shifts the negotiating power toward buyers. Right now across South Surrey, White Rock, and Langley, we're seeing increased inventory, homes sitting on the market longer, and sellers who are more motivated to negotiate.

What does this mean for downsizers specifically?

You have more choice, less pressure to make rushed decisions, and real potential for better pricing—if you're financially prepared to act when the right property comes along. The homes aren't going to sell themselves out from under you in 24 hours like they might have a year ago, but the best opportunities still move quickly when serious buyers are ready.

This is your market. Let's make sure you're positioned to take full advantage of it.

✅ Step One: Why Mortgage Pre-Approval Is Essential

What Pre-Approval Actually Means

First, let's clear up a common confusion: pre-approval and pre-qualification aren't the same thing.

Pre-qualification is a quick, informal estimate based on information you provide. It's helpful for early planning but doesn't carry much weight.

Pre-approval is the real deal. A lender has reviewed your financial documents—your income, credit history, existing debts, and expected proceeds from your current home sale—and committed to lending you a specific amount under defined conditions.

Benefits for Downsizers

Getting pre-approved isn't just a formality. It's a strategic advantage:

It shows sellers you're serious. When I submit an offer on your behalf that includes a pre-approval letter, sellers know you're not window shopping. In competitive situations, this can be the difference-maker.

It helps you set a realistic purchase budget. You'll know exactly what you can spend, which prevents the disappointment of falling in love with a home that's out of reach—or worse, overextending yourself financially.

It speeds up closing. Once you find the right home, much of the legwork is already done. This can make your offer more attractive and reduce the time between acceptance and possession.

As someone who's guided countless downsizers through this process, I can tell you: the peace of mind that comes with knowing your financing is secured is invaluable.

📝 How to Get Pre-Approved (Step-by-Step)

Let me break this down into manageable steps:

1. Gather your financial documents. You'll need recent pay stubs or pension statements, tax returns, proof of assets, and a list of current debts. Don't worry—your mortgage broker will give you a specific checklist.

2. Work with a mortgage broker who understands downsizer profiles. Not all mortgage situations are created equal. Downsizers have unique needs—you might be carrying two properties temporarily, or you may have significant equity but irregular income streams. I work with brokers throughout the Fraser Valley who specialize in these transitions and can connect you with the right fit.

3. Discuss using proceeds from your existing home sale. Your broker needs to understand your timeline and how your current home's equity factors into the equation. This affects both your down payment and overall borrowing capacity.

4. Get a written pre-approval letter valid for 90–120 days. This gives you a realistic window to shop and ensures your rate is protected during that period.

5. Review rates and conditions carefully. Pay special attention to flexibility if the timing between selling and buying is uncertain. Some products offer better options for bridge financing or portable features if circumstances change.

💲 Building a Realistic Downsizing Budget

Here's where my renovation background really comes into play. I've learned that successful downsizing isn't just about the purchase price—it's about understanding the complete financial picture.

Estimate Your Sale Proceeds

Start by getting a clear picture of what your current home will actually net you. I provide detailed comparative market analyses for my clients that reflect current Fraser Valley market conditions. From that sale price, you'll need to deduct:

• Realtor commissions

• Legal fees and disbursements

• Any minor repairs or staging costs you invest before listing

This gives you your actual net proceeds—the number that matters for your next purchase.

Factor in Purchase and Transition Costs

Many downsizers are surprised by the costs beyond the purchase price itself:

Property transfer tax. In BC, this can be significant depending on your purchase price. First-time buyers get exemptions, but most downsizers will need to budget 1-2% of the purchase price.

Moving costs. Professional movers, storage if there's a gap between possession dates, and temporary housing if needed.

Strata fees and potential assessments. If you're moving from a single-family home to a condo or townhome (a common downsizing move), monthly strata fees are a new carrying cost. Even more important: ask about the contingency fund status and any upcoming special assessments. I always review strata documents carefully with my downsizer clients—this can reveal potential five-figure expenses you'll want to factor in.

Legal fees and insurance. Your lawyer will handle the closing, and you'll need to set up new home insurance immediately.

Add a Safety Buffer

Based on years of guiding clients through these transitions, I always recommend keeping a 5-10% contingency fund. Life happens. Timelines shift. Having that buffer means you won't be caught off-guard or forced into stressful last-minute decisions.

🗓️ Aligning Your Sale and Purchase Timelines

This is where strategy meets reality—and where having a pre-approval gives you options.

The "sell first" approach gives you financial certainty. You know exactly what you're working with, and there's no pressure of carrying two properties. However, you may need temporary housing, which adds cost and inconvenience.

The "buy first" approach means you can move directly from your current home to your new one—no interim steps. But it typically requires either bridge financing (borrowing against your current home's equity until it sells) or enough resources to carry both properties temporarily. This is only viable if you're pre-approved and confident in your financial position.

Throughout Langley, South Surrey, and White Rock, I've helped downsizers navigate both approaches. The right choice depends on your specific situation, risk tolerance, and the current market. The key is that your pre-approval gives you the flexibility to choose rather than being forced into one path.

We can also work with extended possession dates or early occupancy agreements to create more breathing room between transactions. These tools are particularly useful in a buyer's market when sellers are motivated to accommodate terms that make deals work.

🏘️ Local Insight: What Fraser Valley Realtors Are Seeing in Fall 2025

Let me share what I'm observing on the ground.

The market has definitely shifted toward buyers, which means negotiation opportunities are real—but that doesn't mean you can take your time indefinitely. When a great property hits the market at the right price, serious buyers still move quickly.

Here's what's making the difference: preparation. The downsizers I'm working with who have their pre-approvals in place are winning in situations where multiple buyers are interested. They can confidently remove financing conditions or offer cleaner terms, which sellers appreciate even in a buyer's market.

I'm seeing particularly strong opportunities in Langley ranchers (perfect for single-level living), White Rock condos with ocean proximity, and South Surrey townhomes in established communities with great amenities. These are the types of properties downsizers are actively seeking, and inventory has improved significantly in these categories.

The buyers who are struggling? Those who haven't sorted out their financing, haven't been realistic about their current home's value, or are waiting for some perfect moment that may never arrive. This market rewards action from prepared buyers.

💡 Expert Tips for Downsizers Navigating a Buyer's Market

Drawing from my experience working with downsizers across the Fraser Valley, here are my top recommendations:

✅ Work with a mortgage broker early. Ideally before you even list your current home. This gives you the clearest picture of your options and timing.

✅ Keep finances liquid during the transition. Avoid making major purchases or taking on new debt while you're in the middle of selling and buying. Lenders reassess your situation before final approval.

✅ Review all ongoing carrying costs. Property taxes can vary significantly between municipalities. Strata fees, if you're moving to a condo or townhome, need to fit comfortably in your monthly budget. Insurance costs might change. Look at the complete picture, not just the purchase price.

✅ Don't max out your approval. Just because you're approved for a certain amount doesn't mean you should spend it all. Buy comfortably below your limit. This gives you financial breathing room and peace of mind in your next chapter. Remember—you're downsizing to simplify life, not to create new financial stress.

💪 Confidence Through Preparation

After years of helping Fraser Valley families navigate real estate transitions, I've learned that the most successful downsizers treat pre-approval and budgeting as essential parts of their moving plan—not afterthoughts.

This buyer's market is creating real opportunities for downsizers ready to make their move. But opportunities are only valuable if you're positioned to act on them.

My commitment to you is straightforward: I'll provide the local expertise, honest guidance, and dedicated support to make your downsizing transition as seamless and stress-free as possible. That includes connecting you with trusted mortgage professionals who understand your unique situation.

Ready to start your next chapter with confidence?

Let's sit down and review your downsizing goals together. I'll help you understand what your current home is worth in today's market, connect you with experienced mortgage brokers to get pre-approved, and create a tailored strategy that works for your timeline and circumstances.

You've worked hard to build equity in your home. Now let's make sure your next move serves you well.

Evan Bird is a trusted real estate advisor serving Langley, Surrey, South Surrey, White Rock, Abbotsford, and Chilliwack. With a background as a firefighter and extensive renovation expertise, Evan brings a unique perspective to helping clients navigate their real estate journey. Contact Evan today to discuss your downsizing plans.